Michael Johnson > wrote in
:

> Joe wrote:
>> Michael Johnson > wrote in
>> :
>>
>>> Joe wrote:
>>>> I know Super Tuesday has yet to arrive, but after the bru-ha-ha
down
>>>> here, it looks like it'll be McCain and Clinton. What say you?
>>> I agree that is is going to be McCain on the Republican side and
think
>>> the odds are currently with Clinton but don't count out Obama just
>>> yet.
>>> The last Gallop Poll Obama gained something like 11 points in ONE
>>> week
>>> and it stands at 43% to 39% for Hillary. That is a huge jump in
just
>>> a few days. It also looks like the elite liberal wing of the
>>> Democratic Party is starting to line up behind Obama. Also, Obama
>>> collected an amazing $32 million this January. That is more money
>>> than any candidate collected for an entire quarter last year. That
>>> can of money is serious and can make a huge difference. Hillary
can't
>>> come close to those numbers and I think she is running out of money
>>> fast.
>>>
>>> Old Billy Boy is killing her right now. I said a long time ago that
>>> Hillary will throw the black vote over board to get the Hispanic and
>>> racist white vote. Yes, the Democrats have white racists too. The
>>> racism between blacks and Hispanics is huge and the Clintons are
>>> whipping up into a frenzy to prevent Obama from getting a decent
chunk
>>> of the Hispanic vote. Hillary will do anything to win, including
>>> destroying the long standing ties that party has to the black
>>> community.
>>> Everything the conservatives have said about her and Bill is being
>>> showcased by them right now. The Democrats are seeing it too and I
>>> think many are saying they don't want another Clinton in the White
>>> House.
>>>
>>> As for McCain, He has truly been in the right place at the right
time.
>>> if the Republicans had a truly conservative candidate with some name
>>> recognition that person would have won hands down. The fact is
Romney
>>> is just as liberal as McCain and being from Mass. is just too much
for
>>> many Republicans to swallow. He strikes me as a pretty boy that
will
>>> say anything to get elected. He isn't a conservative. No one can
be
>>> and also be governor of Mass.
>>>
>>> Huckabee is a joke. He is this years Pat Buchanan. The proverbial
>>> "our jobs are going overseas" candidate just like John Edwards is on
>>> the left. I mean can anyone elect a president that doesn't think
>>> dinosaurs were real? I can't. Thompson had the best credentials
but
>>> he just didn't seem to want the job that bad. Giuliani had a chance
>>> but made one of the biggest campaign strategy blunders in recent
>>> history. I actually liked him better than anyone running on either
>>> side.
>>>
>>> All the above being said, there is one thing that will motivate the
>>> Republicans to get behind McCain en mass. That is for Hillary to
win
>>> the Democratic nomination. I would vote for Satan himself before
>>> Hillary and I am far from alone in that sentiment. I firmly believe
>>> Obama has a better chance in the national election and even he is
far
>>> from a lock. McCain will get most independents, many Hispanics
>>> (thanks to the McCain-Kennedy bill) and, IMO, a big portion of the
>>> black vote (if he runs against Hillary). Even against Obama I think
>>> he is the odds on favorite for several reasons. The biggest is that
>>> Obama is the most liberal Senator in Congress. He makes McCain look
>>> like Ronald Reagan and that is a good thing overall. McCain greatly
>>> increases the odds the next president will be republican and also
>>> increases the odds of the Senate and/or House reverting back to the
>>> Republicans.
>>>
>>> So to summarize, I think McCain is a lock and it is too close to
call
>>> between Hillary and Obama. Especially, considering Obama has
>>> tremendous momentum right now and is collecting money faster than he
>>> can spend it.
>>
>> Excellent post! Thanks very much for your honesty. You never
>> disappoint.
>
> If you couldn't tell I'm not real thrilled with anyone this election.
I
> am somewhat excited about Obama though but not in regard to his
> political views. I wouldn't vote for him because he is very liberal
but
> the fact a black man can be a serious contender for President shows
> just how far this country has come regarding race relations. I also
> believe that the same would have happened on the right if someone like
> Colin Powell had run this year. Powell could have walked away with
the
> Republican nomination this election cycle.

Agreed. Then again, the same holds true regarding women with Clinton.

>> That said, I'm waiting for Bloomberg to stir things up.
>
> I don't think he will run if McCain gets the nomination. McCain will
> suck all the votes from the moderates and that is the very voters
> Bloomberg desperately needs if he stands any chance of winning.

Again, agreed, although it would've been great to see Bloomberg thick in
the fray of things. IMO the next thing will be to see who the VP
candidates will be.